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Wednesday 14 November 2012
HDIL seen monetising 2 million sq ft TDRs
This story first appeared in DNA Money edition on Wednesday, Nov 14, 2012.
Housing Development & Infrastructure Ltd (HDIL) is likely to see a major contribution from TDR (transfer of development rights) business to its revenues in the second half of this fiscal.
Currently, the TDR market is sluggish due to a slow pick-up in construction activity and slower TDR generation, but analysts expect revival in both demand and generation in H2.
“Though construction and sales activities have remained sluggish in Mumbai even after the new development control rules norms, we expect a revival in TDR demand and generation in the next few quarters. We believe with HDIL’s Kurla project getting conversion approval from commercial to residential project, around 2 million sq ft of TDR will get generated and monetised in H2. Further, any revival of the Mumbai International Airport Ltd project would also be the key trigger for TDR generation,” said Shaleen Silori, research analyst, ICICI Securities in a recent note on the company.
The Mumbai-based realtor’s entire sales during the September quarter were from floor space index (FSI) sale of around 2.4 million square feet in Virar, a Mumbai suburb, which helped the company to post a 52% rise in net profit for the quarter at Rs 158.56 crore.
Sarang Wadhawan, vice chairman and managing director, HDIL, said the company’s focus continues to be on project execution and debt reduction. “We expect positive and robust growth in the future quarters as well,” said Wadhawan.
HDIL had launched two new projects of around 1.4 million sq ft in the second quarter and added 16 million sq ft project in Virar, which, analysts said, would enable further FSI sales in the coming quarters.
“The realtor’s strategy of deleveraging its balance sheet through FSI / asset sales augurs well. The company is targeting sales of around 1.5 million sq ft – 2 million sq ft per quarter going forward with realisation of over Rs 1,000 per sq ft,” said Silori.
The analyst said that HDIL’s project execution remains steady with four developments expected to achieve completion this fiscal, exerting a positive impact on the profit & loss account during the second half. “This would keep the earnings buoyant,” the analyst said.
HDIL’s gross debt currently stands at Rs4,030 crore, which is down Rs71 crore from the June quarter. The company is expected to repay around Rs600 crore of debt by the end of this fiscal.
DLF net profit plunges 63%
This story first appeared in DNA Money edition on Tuesday, Nov 13, 2012.
DLF Ltd, India’s largest realtor, disappointed Street by posting significant decline in consolidated profit after tax (PAT) for the second quarter. Net profit fell a whopping 63% to Rs138.51 crore compared with analyst expectations of Rs295.9 crore, which, in itself, was a decline of 20.9% on-year.
DLF’s consolidated net profit in the second quarter stood at Rs372.41 crore. On a standalone basis, the realtor registered a net loss of Rs19.54 crore in the quarter, compared with a net profit of Rs302.57 crore in the same period last year.
DLF officials were not available for a comment, nor did the company website detail the accounts at the time of going to press.
Overall income from operations (sales and other receipts) declined a little over 19% to Rs2,039.54 crore against Rs2,532.41 crore on-year previously.
Realty sector analysts said while decline in home sales appears to be the key reason behind the lower profitability, margin pressure could also another key reason. “Their margins have come down to 36% compared with 40-45% earlier. This could also be due to increase in costs,” said an analyst requesting not to be quoted because he hadn’t dissected the numbers till late Monday evening.
Reforms, rupee set Deal Street on fire
This story first appeared in DNA Money edition on Monday, Nov 12, 2012.
The Deal Street has suddenly come alive.
Twenty-seven merger and acquisitions (M&A) were struck in the first nine days of November as compared to about 50 for the entire October. What has changed for the deal makers to shake off the somnolence of the last two years?
Experts said though overall business environment hasn’t changed much, a slew ofreforms by the government since September is leading the companies to bet on a rosy future.
Vikram Hosangdy, partner — M&A, KPMG India, said, “Sentiment had deteriorated significantly in the September quarter and now most people believe we are at the bottom of the slowdown with a sharp lowering of interest rates seen from January 2013.”
A range of reforms around foreign direct investment as well as the Shome Committee’s stance on tax regulations have improved deal making sentiments, especially on inbound transactions, Raja Lahiri, partner - transaction advisory services, Grant Thornton India LLP, said.
With the western economies in shambles, assets are available there at cheap valuations and a sudden surge in rupee has dramatically reduced costs for overseas acquisitions.
“Outbound transactions like Rain Commodities buying Ruetgers, Infosys snapping up Lodestone and the Sun Pharma’s Dusa deal will continue as long as there is a strategic fit and valuations are reasonable,” said Lahiri.
Though it is rising, the rupee is still comparatively weak against the dollar, which makes Indian assets also cheaper for foreign buyers, said Rajeev Kakkad, associate director, Protiviti Consulting.
Most of the deals are happening in the $25-100 million range mostly in pharma, manufacturing, services, industrials and consumer sectors. However, deals are still taking a longer 6-8 months for getting finalised compared with 3-4 months seen in the peak times.
Experts see the trend continuing and valuations staying high as there are more buyers than sellers. A lot of Indian companies are sitting on huge cash reserves and are actively pursing opportunistic acquisitions in international markets, they said.
Diversifying their businesses for forward or backward integration and expanding presence outside India appear to be major drivers.
“Many large India groups believe this is a very good time to buy in Europe and US,” said Hosangdy.
And Indian financial services firms, too, are at the forefront of the deal making activity. JM Financial has advised on four large transactions including the $2.1 billion acquisition of a majority stake in United Spirits by Diageo. It was also the sole financial advisor to Wipro for demerger of its diversified businesses.
Indian Hotels may sweeten offer for Orient-Express
This story first appeared in DNA Money edition on Saturday, Nov 10, 2012.
Indian Hotels Co Ltd is expected to sweeten its offer to take over Orient-Express Hotels at a 40% premium after the New York Stock Exchange-listed global luxury hotels operator turned it down on Thursday.
The Tata group hospitality flagship and its partner Montezemolo & Partners, which is backed by Ferrari chairman, are mulling their next move after OEH thwarted the bid saying it undervalued the company.
Will it be a new offer with more premium, a hostile takeover or will IHCL drop the bid altogether, move on and focus on optimising its revenues which are under pressure?
Experts feel the Indian company would opt for the first.
Kaushik Vardharajan, managing director, HVS Global Hospitality Services - India, a hospitality consultant, sees OEH as a larger strategic fit and the easiest way for IHCL to expand in the global hospitality market. “If you look at the previous offer, it was significantly higher than the current share price as market conditions were different then. IHCL certainly can hike the offer,” he said.
This is the second time OEH board has rebuffed IHCL’s proposal and an increased offer will give out a message to the shareholders that the Indian company is very serious about its intent, he said.
“OEH is still at a very attractive valuation,” said Siddhartha Khemka, equity research analyst at Centrum Broking.
It is, however, not clear how much more can IHCL offer.
“They still have some room to increase the offer and can hike it by another 20%,” said a top hotelier.
Experts feel IHCL should hike the offer and see how the OEH board reacts.
“I don’t understand on what basis OEH called it an undervalued offer because IHCL offered a significantly higher price than OEH’s market value,” said a top hospitality consultant. “Their stock price has fallen so much from the peak and any increase of late is purely because of IHCL’s offer. IHCL made a great offer especially when the overall economic environment is not very conducive for OEH’s business. It will take OEH at least a couple of years if not more to stabilise.”
In case IHCL hikes the offer, experts said, the OEH board will have tough time explaining shareholders why it should not be lapped up.
“The US and Europe markets are still reeling under pressure and turning around business in a short span will be a tough task. IHCL will get support from OEH shareholders given its intention to reward the shareholders in such stressed market conditions,” said a top hospitality consultant.
Also, more suitors may pop up and jack up the bidding price.
“It is quite possible that private equity players like Blackstone or some other entity sitting on huge investable cash could make a counter offer. If that happens, acquiring OEH will become a very expensive affair for IHCL,” said a top official from an investment advisory.
Indian Hotels delivers a minor loss
This story first appeared in DNA Money edition on Wednesday, Nov 7, 2012.
Indian Hotels Company Limited (IHCL), the Tata group hospitality flagship, will expand its room capacity by almost 11% next fiscal with the addition of 13 hotels. Over 1,500 guest rooms are to swell its global portfolio of 13,887 rooms in 115 hotels.
The additions will be made through a mix of management contracts and new developments (to be built by IHCL, its associated companies or its subsidiary, the Roots Corporation).
Raymond Bickson, IHCL’s MD, said, “Almost 70% investment has already been made in our upcoming hotel in Dwarka which is likely to open sometime in 2013-14. The Vivanta in Guwahati will be funded over the next two years. Roots will open six Ginger hotels, Taj GVK will open a Taj hotel at Terminal 1C in Mumbai and Benaras Hotels will open a Gateway hotel at Gondia.”
IHCL officials said its latest quarterly and half-yearly profits were impacted by factors like lean season, higher costs of power and fuel, significant increase in the new inventory.
All this led to IHCL’s net loss of `6 crore is the second quarter (Q2; July-September), a contrast to the entire group’s net loss of `2 crore in the first half (H1; April-September). But its Q2 turnover of `379 crore is higher than `358 crore in Q2 of last fiscal, while H1 turnover rose 7% to `775 crore.
“The 23% growth in new hotel rooms was higher than the demand that grew only by 20%, which has led to decline in average room rates (ARR) and revenue per available room (RevPAR) for the overall industry in general,” said Deepa Harris, senior vice-president of sales and marketing at IHCL.
IHCL is, however, very optimistic about demand growth in H2. “The second half is the main business season for the entire hospitality industry, and IHCL has seen good business. We are expecting increased occupancy levels around 75%, up from around 65% in the first half, and a marginal increase of 5-8% in room rates in the coming two quarters,” said Anil P Goel, executive director of finance, IHCL.
The company has invested significantly in greenfield developments in the last couple of years, so will pause now to stabilise the hotels, IHCL officials said. Business outside India will take more time to stabilise; the US market alone will take another 18-24 months, they said.
On the controversial move on Orient-Express Hotels, the IHCL managers said since both are listed entities, they would not like to comment until they hear from the OEH board.
Tuesday 6 November 2012
Erstwhile promoter of Share Khan, Shripal Morakhia forays into sports-based entertainment business
Shripal Morakhia, the erstwhile promoter of SSKI & Share Khan, has entered the sports-based entertainment centre business with the launch of first facility in Mumbai. Morakhia has partnered with Star India, one of India's leading television entertainment networks, for this unique entertainment centre concept. Cricket icon Sachin Tendulkar is also associated with this unique venture.
Christened ‘Smaaash - Inspired by Star’ the centre is spread over 24,000 square feet and is located at Kamla Mills Compound, Lower Parel in Mumbai. Through this venture, Star India has taken the brand "STAR" beyond television. Smaaash is a sports-based entertainment centre with cricket at its core and stands for active entertainment.
Christened ‘Smaaash - Inspired by Star’ the centre is spread over 24,000 square feet and is located at Kamla Mills Compound, Lower Parel in Mumbai. Through this venture, Star India has taken the brand "STAR" beyond television. Smaaash is a sports-based entertainment centre with cricket at its core and stands for active entertainment.
According to Star India, it is a fully immersive and an addictive experience, which will provide the audiences an opportunity to play cricket LIVE.
Uday Shankar, CEO, STAR India, said, "Star has always stood for thought leadership and with 'Smaaash - Inspired by Star' we take brand Star beyond television to create an immersive entertainment experience for audiences."
Smaaash is positioned as the largest aspirational, immersive, recreational destination in India and is in line with Star’s promise of inspiring and entertaining audiences and will help bring this promise alive.
The centre has 8 cricket lanes, an F&B arena and other arcade games including a F1 simulator, FPS simulator etc. The cricket lanes enable LIVE cricket play using the Hawk-Eye and Bola technology. Sachin Tendulkar’s involvement has been very active in this concept during the initial testing as well as in designing the overall experience.
Star, whose acquisition of ESS' sports broadcast businesses is now virtually imminent, will provide international quality cricket experience to sport buffs through the centre. Smaaash will bring an international quality cricket experience, where the players can face off against top cricketers like Sachin Tendulkar, Brett Lee, Anil Kumble and many others in a simulated environment.
Uday Shankar, CEO, STAR India, said, "Star has always stood for thought leadership and with 'Smaaash - Inspired by Star' we take brand Star beyond television to create an immersive entertainment experience for audiences."
Smaaash is positioned as the largest aspirational, immersive, recreational destination in India and is in line with Star’s promise of inspiring and entertaining audiences and will help bring this promise alive.
The centre has 8 cricket lanes, an F&B arena and other arcade games including a F1 simulator, FPS simulator etc. The cricket lanes enable LIVE cricket play using the Hawk-Eye and Bola technology. Sachin Tendulkar’s involvement has been very active in this concept during the initial testing as well as in designing the overall experience.
Star, whose acquisition of ESS' sports broadcast businesses is now virtually imminent, will provide international quality cricket experience to sport buffs through the centre. Smaaash will bring an international quality cricket experience, where the players can face off against top cricketers like Sachin Tendulkar, Brett Lee, Anil Kumble and many others in a simulated environment.
Mahindra Holidays acquires 49% in Thailand's Infinity Hospitalities Group
Mahindra Holidays, India’s largest vacation ownership company, has added a new property in Thailand by acquiring 49% equity share capital of Infinity Hospitalities Group Co Ltd. Financial details related to this deal were not disclosed.
This deal brings to the company's existing hotels network, a 77-room resort in Bangkok operating as Mac Boutique Suites. While continuing to cater to other travelers, the resort will be available to members of Club Mahindra through a special arrangement and a nominal access fee.
According to Rajiv Sawhney, managing director and CEO, Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India Limited (MHRIL), this is the first step towards what MHRIL believes will be the next big movement in family holidays. "Building presence where Indians love to go - outside of India - was been considered for a while especially in locations like Dubai, Sri Lanka, Malaysia including Bangkok. With this addition, our strategy has begun to take shape,” said Sawhney.
Mac Boutique Suites is a full-service resort in Sukhumvit, Bangkok’s bustling business district. Located only a few steps away from BTS (Nana Station), a few minutes away from the MRT (subway Asoke Station) and only five minutes to the expressway, it offers easy access to a wide array of shopping, entertainment, museums and international cuisines.
Among the top 10 vacation ownership companies globally with over 150,000 members, MHRIL's international presence includes resort properties in Thailand, Malaysia and Austria. The last 10-odd months have seen the company add 781 rooms across the resort network and its resort count currently stands at 43.
This deal brings to the company's existing hotels network, a 77-room resort in Bangkok operating as Mac Boutique Suites. While continuing to cater to other travelers, the resort will be available to members of Club Mahindra through a special arrangement and a nominal access fee.
According to Rajiv Sawhney, managing director and CEO, Mahindra Holidays & Resorts India Limited (MHRIL), this is the first step towards what MHRIL believes will be the next big movement in family holidays. "Building presence where Indians love to go - outside of India - was been considered for a while especially in locations like Dubai, Sri Lanka, Malaysia including Bangkok. With this addition, our strategy has begun to take shape,” said Sawhney.
Mac Boutique Suites is a full-service resort in Sukhumvit, Bangkok’s bustling business district. Located only a few steps away from BTS (Nana Station), a few minutes away from the MRT (subway Asoke Station) and only five minutes to the expressway, it offers easy access to a wide array of shopping, entertainment, museums and international cuisines.
Among the top 10 vacation ownership companies globally with over 150,000 members, MHRIL's international presence includes resort properties in Thailand, Malaysia and Austria. The last 10-odd months have seen the company add 781 rooms across the resort network and its resort count currently stands at 43.
Saturday 3 November 2012
Strong movie content driving occupancy levels in multiplexes
Film exhibition firm PVR witnessed a good second quarter with consolidated revenues growing 37% driven primarily by box office performance and food and beverage (F&B) revenue growth. Strong movie content is driving occupancy levels across multiplexes thereby leading to double digit growth in same store sales, said a top company official.
According to Nitin Sood, chief financial officer, PVR Ltd, there is upward trending in the consumption pattern evident from over 40% occupancy levels across its multiplexes over the last few quarters. "Content certainly has been of great help and as content improves, it definitely reflects in overall better occupancy across cinemas," he said.
Footfalls for the second quarter fiscal 2013 (Q2FY'13) increased 28-29%. Occupancy levels also increased disproportionately over the last couple of quarters thus leading to scaling up of return on capital scaling. This growth, industry experts said, is largely driven by occupancy than pricing.
Commenting on the observation, Sood said the company took a conscious call last year to cut down on pricing and re-look at the customer base. "We sustained this for 12 months. And starting last quarter, we have increased pricing so this quarter reflects a double digit growth of 10-11% in pricing as well. We need to try and sustain the pricing growth over the balance part of the year," he said.
Industry experts are of the opinion that the trending in consumption has been happening for slightly longer than a year now. The change in consumption patterns are mainly because of maturing markets and opening of new multiplexes. While there certainly is some kind of a shift, there really is no scientific answer to it.
"New cinemas driven by good content are attracting more and more consumers to the multiplexes. As the economy moves up and new malls open people will go out, try to consume and see these products. Cinema is an activity one can probably do every week unlike shopping and some of the other activities," said an analyst with a domestic brokerage.
"In fact, if you look at our numbers for the last six quarters and plot it consecutively, you will see double digit same store growth," said Sood adding that the company is seeing an increase even in some of their cinemas that have been operational for seven to eight years now.
As the film exhibition business is largely driven by content, there are concerns in the market that occupancy levels of over 40% across screens may not be sustainable. Industry experts said this business also has cycles like other businesses and that while things may look good in the short-term, same cannot be said in the long term.
"Will the occupancy levels be 40% forever, it will be very difficult to say as the nature of the business is such that it will have content cycles with hit years where business may not be so great and vice-versa. There would be properties that may not open to expectation on day one and take time mature," said an analyst with a leading domestic firm.
Echoing the sentiments, Sood said, "While the outlook for the next 12-18 months looks very encouraging with a good content pipeline even for the next year. To say this is how the industry will always remain will be slightly incorrect. In terms of the period ahead for the balance part of the year, I think we have a very decent third quarter with a lineup of some big films releasing during Diwali followed by end of December. Overall the content pipeline is looking very exciting for the next three to four months and we hope to maintain and sustain these occupancies and footfalls."
On the expansion front, PVR management had indicated Rs 150 crore - excluding deposits that's an additional 5-10% - has been earmarked as capital expenditure for opening about 82 screens in the beginning of the year. During the first six months the company has opened about 31 screens. On Friday (November 2, 2012) it opened an eight screen multiplex at Market City, Kurla in addition to their first IMAX in Koramangala, Bangalore. "With 40-odd screens added, roughly about 50% of the portfolio is open in terms of what was indicated earlier and are sticking to our guidance," said Sood.
As for its food and beverage (F&B) operations is concerned, the company currently operates two food courts in Delhi and there are no immediate plans to expand that format as it's been operated mainly through sub-leasing than building their own brands.
According to Sood, the management is looking at the F&B piece and believe it needs to be repositioned the way food and beverage is currently sold in the cinema. "Consumers are getting stressed for time and clearly the variety of F&B being offered in the cinema has to change. In the earlier days, one of the key concerns was the huge pricing difference between what was available in the cinema and outside. This gap has been narrowed to some extent," said Sood.
Industry experts also feel if the consumers are given quality F&B items for consumption in the cinema they will be more than willing to increase their food intake inside the cinema as compared to having a separate meal experience outside. "These are the two factors we are working on and if you look at our F&B spend-per-head growth has been in double digits. We believe, this is one area that needs repositioning and work more on given the kind of opportunity that exists in this space," said Sood.
On the sub-segmentation of the screens with Director's Cut, Gold Class, Premiere and mainstream, Sood said that an exclusive luxury cinema is positioned as Director's Cut and if the facility is part of a larger cinema then it is positioned as Gold Class. "Pricing is very catchment specific. For instance in Delhi, if the property is in South Delhi area the pricing differential could be three times and can go as high as Rs 1,000 on a weekend. But if the multiplex is in some other catchment, it would be a function of what the relative pricing for a normal ticket in that market is," he said.
PVR took 15 years since inception to open 160-odd screens in the country. In terms of roll-out, the company is adding 150-odd screens between FY'13 and '14 with the hope that as these screens come on board they do well and change the company's overall growth trajectory in the coming years.
According to Nitin Sood, chief financial officer, PVR Ltd, there is upward trending in the consumption pattern evident from over 40% occupancy levels across its multiplexes over the last few quarters. "Content certainly has been of great help and as content improves, it definitely reflects in overall better occupancy across cinemas," he said.
Footfalls for the second quarter fiscal 2013 (Q2FY'13) increased 28-29%. Occupancy levels also increased disproportionately over the last couple of quarters thus leading to scaling up of return on capital scaling. This growth, industry experts said, is largely driven by occupancy than pricing.
Commenting on the observation, Sood said the company took a conscious call last year to cut down on pricing and re-look at the customer base. "We sustained this for 12 months. And starting last quarter, we have increased pricing so this quarter reflects a double digit growth of 10-11% in pricing as well. We need to try and sustain the pricing growth over the balance part of the year," he said.
Industry experts are of the opinion that the trending in consumption has been happening for slightly longer than a year now. The change in consumption patterns are mainly because of maturing markets and opening of new multiplexes. While there certainly is some kind of a shift, there really is no scientific answer to it.
"New cinemas driven by good content are attracting more and more consumers to the multiplexes. As the economy moves up and new malls open people will go out, try to consume and see these products. Cinema is an activity one can probably do every week unlike shopping and some of the other activities," said an analyst with a domestic brokerage.
"In fact, if you look at our numbers for the last six quarters and plot it consecutively, you will see double digit same store growth," said Sood adding that the company is seeing an increase even in some of their cinemas that have been operational for seven to eight years now.
As the film exhibition business is largely driven by content, there are concerns in the market that occupancy levels of over 40% across screens may not be sustainable. Industry experts said this business also has cycles like other businesses and that while things may look good in the short-term, same cannot be said in the long term.
"Will the occupancy levels be 40% forever, it will be very difficult to say as the nature of the business is such that it will have content cycles with hit years where business may not be so great and vice-versa. There would be properties that may not open to expectation on day one and take time mature," said an analyst with a leading domestic firm.
Echoing the sentiments, Sood said, "While the outlook for the next 12-18 months looks very encouraging with a good content pipeline even for the next year. To say this is how the industry will always remain will be slightly incorrect. In terms of the period ahead for the balance part of the year, I think we have a very decent third quarter with a lineup of some big films releasing during Diwali followed by end of December. Overall the content pipeline is looking very exciting for the next three to four months and we hope to maintain and sustain these occupancies and footfalls."
On the expansion front, PVR management had indicated Rs 150 crore - excluding deposits that's an additional 5-10% - has been earmarked as capital expenditure for opening about 82 screens in the beginning of the year. During the first six months the company has opened about 31 screens. On Friday (November 2, 2012) it opened an eight screen multiplex at Market City, Kurla in addition to their first IMAX in Koramangala, Bangalore. "With 40-odd screens added, roughly about 50% of the portfolio is open in terms of what was indicated earlier and are sticking to our guidance," said Sood.
As for its food and beverage (F&B) operations is concerned, the company currently operates two food courts in Delhi and there are no immediate plans to expand that format as it's been operated mainly through sub-leasing than building their own brands.
According to Sood, the management is looking at the F&B piece and believe it needs to be repositioned the way food and beverage is currently sold in the cinema. "Consumers are getting stressed for time and clearly the variety of F&B being offered in the cinema has to change. In the earlier days, one of the key concerns was the huge pricing difference between what was available in the cinema and outside. This gap has been narrowed to some extent," said Sood.
Industry experts also feel if the consumers are given quality F&B items for consumption in the cinema they will be more than willing to increase their food intake inside the cinema as compared to having a separate meal experience outside. "These are the two factors we are working on and if you look at our F&B spend-per-head growth has been in double digits. We believe, this is one area that needs repositioning and work more on given the kind of opportunity that exists in this space," said Sood.
On the sub-segmentation of the screens with Director's Cut, Gold Class, Premiere and mainstream, Sood said that an exclusive luxury cinema is positioned as Director's Cut and if the facility is part of a larger cinema then it is positioned as Gold Class. "Pricing is very catchment specific. For instance in Delhi, if the property is in South Delhi area the pricing differential could be three times and can go as high as Rs 1,000 on a weekend. But if the multiplex is in some other catchment, it would be a function of what the relative pricing for a normal ticket in that market is," he said.
PVR took 15 years since inception to open 160-odd screens in the country. In terms of roll-out, the company is adding 150-odd screens between FY'13 and '14 with the hope that as these screens come on board they do well and change the company's overall growth trajectory in the coming years.
Friday 2 November 2012
Property prices will hold or increase from here, very unlikely to go down
Pirojsha Godrej |
This Q&A first appeared in DNA Money edition on Friday, November 2, 2012.
Pirojsha Godrej, managing director and chief executive officer of Godrej Properties Ltd, cannot hide his glee. The company posted a whopping 67.5% on-year growth in net profit for the second quarter of the financial year 2012-13 on Thursday, and appears intent on sustaining the momentum. In an interview soon after announcing the results, Godrej took stock of the current property market, consumer sentiment and the road ahead for his company.
Will there ever be a correction in real-estate prices? Prices seem to be heading only north.
Pricing and price correction... very tricky question that, something we get asked very often. Six months ago, there was talk about a possible price correction; but the answer is, most probably, it won't happen, though prices always can come down. One needs to appreciate that there are factors on all sides. The developers are also facing constraints — whether in the form of much higher input costs, labour cost, and cost of funds, which hurts both the developer as well as the customer looking to buy an apartment. The substantial increase in costs over the last couple of years makes meaningful price cuts quite unlikely.
Anybody who claims to know what will happen to prices in a complex market like real estate is probably fooling himself. There are more signs that point to prices holding steady or going up than there are of them coming down. We didn't think prices would come down even when the economic conditions and consumer sentiment were [at their] worst. Predicting price trends in the very near term is very difficult. I don't think there is a compelling case for prices trending lower in the next 6-12 months.
What is your sense of the overall business environment in the Indian real-estate sector?
The sector clearly has gone through a bit of a difficult period over the past 12 months. Interest rates have been high, gross domestic product (GDP) growth has obviously been under pressure. Our sense is that particularly in the residential space, there is good demand for good quality projects in the right locations at reasonable price points. And we have seen evidence of that from the market response to some of our recent launches in Bangalore and Gurgaon. Across cities, we have been able to maintain fairly good traction. That said, we certainly think there are some things on the horizon that are likely to improve the momentum in the sector, including, hopefully, interest rates starting to come down. It is very positive to see the momentum the government has gained now on reforms and, hopefully, that can be taken to a logical conclusion.
But consumer sentiment doesn't appear to be improving. One look at the flat registration numbers of recent times explains it all. Where is the traction?
That may be true for the sector as a whole, which clearly has not seen good traction; but we have not really witnessed a decline in sales and the consumer sentiment. We had launched the second phase of our Vikhroli, Mumbai, project last year and the price per square foot for the recent third phase launch is 35% higher than what it was in the same period last year. We have received great response from the market even at the increased price point. So, fundamentally, the demand exists and we have already witnessed it.
What do you think needs to be done to improve consumer sentiment? Are the necessary steps being taken in that direction?
In my view, consumer sentiment would be better if the economy and people's perception of it get back on track. On that front, while we have had a very disappointing 12-18 months, the last 30-45 days have been very encouraging. If that kind of momentum can be sustained by the government on the policy side, it will be very good news. I think over time we are hopeful that the RBI [Reserve Bank of India] will also be supportive of this kind of growth through interest rate reduction which most people expect to unfold in the coming months. What is also very encouraging to see is that the momentum/thinking is correct and now it is all about making sure they are able to get the results as expected. I think the finance minister has done a fabulous job of coming in and very quickly announcing a set of measures that I think would go a long way in increasing business confidence as well as the consumer sentiment.
The second quarter has been quite exciting for the company. Could you share the key business highlights?
It certainly has been a good one on most operating metrics. We have seen strong growth in total revenue to the extent of 64% over the corresponding period last year. Booking growth, which is new sales and indicative of the likely growth that will come in revenue in the future, has been more strong with growth in value terms of about 327% for the second quarter this fiscal. A lot of booking growth has actually come from the launch of Godrej Summit in Gurgaon. We were able to sell the entire first phase of the project constituting about 1 million square feet in one day. Our ebitda [earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation] increased by more than 100% from Rs34.6 crore to Rs72.3 crore while net profit grew from Rs19.5 crore to Rs32.6 crore, representing an increase of 67.5% on a year-on-year basis. So, all in all, it has been a very satisfying second quarter.
Could you share some details about new launches in the coming months?
We have several project launches coming in. In October, we launched two projects in Bangalore — Godrej Gold County and Godrej Electronic City. Over the next couple of months, we will be launching the second phase of Godrej Summit, Gurgaon. We launched on Dussehra the third phase of our Vikhroli project in Mumbai and will have additional phases of project launches in Pune, Nagpur, Kolkata and Ahmedabad. Mumbai will see several new projects getting launched. One of them is a redevelopment project called Godrej Central in Chembur and another is our commercial project in the Bandra Kurla Complex (BKC) which is a joint venture with Jet Airways.
Are you looking at financial partners for the Chembur and BKC projects?
We have already done a private equity (PE) partnership with Sun-Apollo for the Chembur project which would be a 6-7 lakh square foot development. For the BKC project, we are open to a PE partnership though nothing has been finalised. We don't have any particular amount in mind, it will depend on the structure of the deal. The total project size of the BKC development is a little bit larger than we had anticipated, which is positive news. We expect it now to be about 1.25 million square feet. Of that, a little over 2 lakh sq ft will be used by Jet Airways for their corporate space, so we will have slightly over a million square feet available for sale and/or lease. The exact ratio between sale and lease is something that will be decided as the project unfolds.
What is your outlook for the coming quarters?
I would imagine the second half of the fiscal will be a busy period with a host of launches starting from the festive season. The third quarter has also started on a good note. We have had a few good launches in Bangalore and many more are slated over the next couple of months and the upcoming financial year. And we hope to maintain the strong sales momentum in these developments. We maintain that even if things don't improve, we feel pretty good [that] given the kind of projects we have added and the launches we have in the pipeline we would be able to deliver strong growth picture. Clearly that ability would be further enhanced if the economic climate in general improves in the coming quarters.
Pirojsha Godrej, managing director and chief executive officer of Godrej Properties Ltd, cannot hide his glee. The company posted a whopping 67.5% on-year growth in net profit for the second quarter of the financial year 2012-13 on Thursday, and appears intent on sustaining the momentum. In an interview soon after announcing the results, Godrej took stock of the current property market, consumer sentiment and the road ahead for his company.
Will there ever be a correction in real-estate prices? Prices seem to be heading only north.
Pricing and price correction... very tricky question that, something we get asked very often. Six months ago, there was talk about a possible price correction; but the answer is, most probably, it won't happen, though prices always can come down. One needs to appreciate that there are factors on all sides. The developers are also facing constraints — whether in the form of much higher input costs, labour cost, and cost of funds, which hurts both the developer as well as the customer looking to buy an apartment. The substantial increase in costs over the last couple of years makes meaningful price cuts quite unlikely.
Anybody who claims to know what will happen to prices in a complex market like real estate is probably fooling himself. There are more signs that point to prices holding steady or going up than there are of them coming down. We didn't think prices would come down even when the economic conditions and consumer sentiment were [at their] worst. Predicting price trends in the very near term is very difficult. I don't think there is a compelling case for prices trending lower in the next 6-12 months.
What is your sense of the overall business environment in the Indian real-estate sector?
The sector clearly has gone through a bit of a difficult period over the past 12 months. Interest rates have been high, gross domestic product (GDP) growth has obviously been under pressure. Our sense is that particularly in the residential space, there is good demand for good quality projects in the right locations at reasonable price points. And we have seen evidence of that from the market response to some of our recent launches in Bangalore and Gurgaon. Across cities, we have been able to maintain fairly good traction. That said, we certainly think there are some things on the horizon that are likely to improve the momentum in the sector, including, hopefully, interest rates starting to come down. It is very positive to see the momentum the government has gained now on reforms and, hopefully, that can be taken to a logical conclusion.
But consumer sentiment doesn't appear to be improving. One look at the flat registration numbers of recent times explains it all. Where is the traction?
That may be true for the sector as a whole, which clearly has not seen good traction; but we have not really witnessed a decline in sales and the consumer sentiment. We had launched the second phase of our Vikhroli, Mumbai, project last year and the price per square foot for the recent third phase launch is 35% higher than what it was in the same period last year. We have received great response from the market even at the increased price point. So, fundamentally, the demand exists and we have already witnessed it.
What do you think needs to be done to improve consumer sentiment? Are the necessary steps being taken in that direction?
In my view, consumer sentiment would be better if the economy and people's perception of it get back on track. On that front, while we have had a very disappointing 12-18 months, the last 30-45 days have been very encouraging. If that kind of momentum can be sustained by the government on the policy side, it will be very good news. I think over time we are hopeful that the RBI [Reserve Bank of India] will also be supportive of this kind of growth through interest rate reduction which most people expect to unfold in the coming months. What is also very encouraging to see is that the momentum/thinking is correct and now it is all about making sure they are able to get the results as expected. I think the finance minister has done a fabulous job of coming in and very quickly announcing a set of measures that I think would go a long way in increasing business confidence as well as the consumer sentiment.
The second quarter has been quite exciting for the company. Could you share the key business highlights?
It certainly has been a good one on most operating metrics. We have seen strong growth in total revenue to the extent of 64% over the corresponding period last year. Booking growth, which is new sales and indicative of the likely growth that will come in revenue in the future, has been more strong with growth in value terms of about 327% for the second quarter this fiscal. A lot of booking growth has actually come from the launch of Godrej Summit in Gurgaon. We were able to sell the entire first phase of the project constituting about 1 million square feet in one day. Our ebitda [earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation] increased by more than 100% from Rs34.6 crore to Rs72.3 crore while net profit grew from Rs19.5 crore to Rs32.6 crore, representing an increase of 67.5% on a year-on-year basis. So, all in all, it has been a very satisfying second quarter.
Could you share some details about new launches in the coming months?
We have several project launches coming in. In October, we launched two projects in Bangalore — Godrej Gold County and Godrej Electronic City. Over the next couple of months, we will be launching the second phase of Godrej Summit, Gurgaon. We launched on Dussehra the third phase of our Vikhroli project in Mumbai and will have additional phases of project launches in Pune, Nagpur, Kolkata and Ahmedabad. Mumbai will see several new projects getting launched. One of them is a redevelopment project called Godrej Central in Chembur and another is our commercial project in the Bandra Kurla Complex (BKC) which is a joint venture with Jet Airways.
Are you looking at financial partners for the Chembur and BKC projects?
We have already done a private equity (PE) partnership with Sun-Apollo for the Chembur project which would be a 6-7 lakh square foot development. For the BKC project, we are open to a PE partnership though nothing has been finalised. We don't have any particular amount in mind, it will depend on the structure of the deal. The total project size of the BKC development is a little bit larger than we had anticipated, which is positive news. We expect it now to be about 1.25 million square feet. Of that, a little over 2 lakh sq ft will be used by Jet Airways for their corporate space, so we will have slightly over a million square feet available for sale and/or lease. The exact ratio between sale and lease is something that will be decided as the project unfolds.
What is your outlook for the coming quarters?
I would imagine the second half of the fiscal will be a busy period with a host of launches starting from the festive season. The third quarter has also started on a good note. We have had a few good launches in Bangalore and many more are slated over the next couple of months and the upcoming financial year. And we hope to maintain the strong sales momentum in these developments. We maintain that even if things don't improve, we feel pretty good [that] given the kind of projects we have added and the launches we have in the pipeline we would be able to deliver strong growth picture. Clearly that ability would be further enhanced if the economic climate in general improves in the coming quarters.
Wednesday 31 October 2012
Hyatt takes over management of IHHR Hospitality's five Ista hotels
Hyatt Hotels Corporation, the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) listed global hospitality company, has entered into an agreement with IHHR Hospitality Pvt Ltd (IHHR) to take over management of five Ista hotels in India. As a result of this agreement, the Ista hotels will now be re-branded as Hyatt. This development in the works was first reported in August, 2012. You can read the earlier story here.
Commenting on the development, Ratnesh Verma, senior vice president - real estate and development, Hyatt Hotels & Resorts-Asia-Pacific, said the company sees a perfect fit with IHHR's forward-thinking philosophy and vision. "It is our endeavor to create preference for our brand by having hotels in markets where our customers are traveling. This opportunity allows Hyatt to further consolidate its distribution in India and offer customers a choice in new markets such as Bangalore, Amritsar and Ahmedabad," said Verma.
While industry experts had earlier expressed that an arrangement of this nature might call for an equity position by Hyatt Hotels, a company spokesperson cleared the air saying, "There is no equity investment from our side and this is a management agreement for the five hotels."
This deal is expected to be a trend setting development in the Indian hospitality market potentially paving way for more such arrangements in the near future.
However, a section of the industry experts are of the opinion that Hyatt has only created confusion in the minds of the customers by signing this deal.
"One also needs to question the dilution of the brand's equity in its haste to get the portfolio. Just to cite an example, the Hyatt Regency hotel in Pune is struggling with 38 sq m rooms and now there will be another plain Hyatt right opposite with a 28 sq m room. To the market who call the present hotel Hyatt and the new a Hyatt as well, this is nothing but a confusion. I mean how is Hyatt going to distinguish the brands when a guest will wonder what's different between a Regency, Place and just Hyatt. And so will Hyatt owners, I believe.
"Everyone in the hospitality industry wants growth but it should not be done at the cost of diluting the equity of their brands. Imagine a Park Hyatt owner spending upwards of Rs 1.5 crore per key seeing his hotel called Hyatt vis-a-vis a Hyatt or Hyatt place owner spending Rs 50 lakh a key and also being called Hyatt. You got to feel sorry for the Park Hyatt owner. I think the same is true for Marriott as well. Whether a JW or a core Marriott or a Courtyard or Fairfield, Marriott is Marriott," said a top industry official.
As per the agreements, signed by both parties on Monday i.e. October 29, 2012 in London, the entire re-branding exercise is expected to be completed by the end of this fiscal i.e. March 2013. IHHR Hospitality entered the five-star business hotels accommodation segment with the launch of its first Ista branded hotel back in 2006 in Bangalore. Featuring 143 guestrooms and suites, it was followed by Ista hotel launches in other cities like Hyderabad (165 guestrooms), Amristar (248 guestrooms), Pune (221 guestrooms) and Ahmedabad (169 guestrooms). The five hotels portfolio collectively have a total inventory of 946 guestrooms and suites.
Among investors in IHHR Hospitality include US-based financial services provider Morgan Stanley, which had bought 26% stake for about $40 million (Rs 160 crore) sometime in 2007. Media reports had earlier indicated that Morgan Stanley was looking to sell this stake and that the London-based C&C Alpha Group founded by Bhanu Choudhrie (IHHR Hospitality's biggest stakeholder) was likely to acquire it. Once concluded, C&C Alpha Group's 62% stake in IHHR Hospitality (held by its hospitality subsidiary Shanti Hospitality Group Ltd) would increase to over 80%.
Industry sources indicated that the Morgan Stanley exit transaction has been concluded and that the exit has happened either at par or at a loss. An email send to C&C Alpha Group's UK office remained unanswered. Morgan Stanley could not be reached for a comment.
C&C Alpha Group currently has investments across six sectors viz. healthcare, hospitality, real estate, aviation, utilities and agriculture. According to the company website, Shanti Hospitality currently has portfolio and pipeline projects spread across the Indian, Asian and European continents. The hotel company owns eight operational hotels and manages 12 hotels and resorts across the globe under the brands of Ananda, Nira, Ista, Amritara and Nidra.
While officials at IHHR Hospitality were not available to comment on this development, Ashok Khanna, managing director, IHHR, in a media statement, said, "The time is now right to step back to our role as owners and hand these Ista hotels to Hyatt, which can take the business to the next level, through its marketing and brand strength," said Khanna adding that the deal will also allow IHHR to re-focus its efforts on further developments and its other brands, which include destination spa brand Ananda in the Himalayas.
The re-branding will mark the entry of the fourth brand from Hyatt Hotels' portfolio into India. It is, however, not very clear what happens to the Ista brand post this management takeover. Industry experts however, said that IHHR Hospitality is likely to bury the six-year old identity it created to enter the city hotels segment of the Indian hospitality industry.
Currently, India has five Hyatt Regency hotels (Mumbai, Pune, Delhi, Chennai and Kolkata), two Grand Hyatt hotels (Mumbai and Goa), and three Park Hyatt hotels (Goa, Chennai and Hyderabad). The Hyatt Place brand will be the next to enter India, with Hyatt Place Hampi opening later this year, followed by Hyatt Place Pune, Hinjewadi. The next six months will also mark the opening of three other Hyatt hotels in India viz. Hyatt Regency Gurgaon, Hyatt Regency Ludhiana and Hyatt Raipur. The international hotel company's current development pipeline in India include more than 50 Hyatt-branded hotels, which are expected to add more than 12,000 rooms.
Commenting on the development, Ratnesh Verma, senior vice president - real estate and development, Hyatt Hotels & Resorts-Asia-Pacific, said the company sees a perfect fit with IHHR's forward-thinking philosophy and vision. "It is our endeavor to create preference for our brand by having hotels in markets where our customers are traveling. This opportunity allows Hyatt to further consolidate its distribution in India and offer customers a choice in new markets such as Bangalore, Amritsar and Ahmedabad," said Verma.
While industry experts had earlier expressed that an arrangement of this nature might call for an equity position by Hyatt Hotels, a company spokesperson cleared the air saying, "There is no equity investment from our side and this is a management agreement for the five hotels."
This deal is expected to be a trend setting development in the Indian hospitality market potentially paving way for more such arrangements in the near future.
However, a section of the industry experts are of the opinion that Hyatt has only created confusion in the minds of the customers by signing this deal.
"One also needs to question the dilution of the brand's equity in its haste to get the portfolio. Just to cite an example, the Hyatt Regency hotel in Pune is struggling with 38 sq m rooms and now there will be another plain Hyatt right opposite with a 28 sq m room. To the market who call the present hotel Hyatt and the new a Hyatt as well, this is nothing but a confusion. I mean how is Hyatt going to distinguish the brands when a guest will wonder what's different between a Regency, Place and just Hyatt. And so will Hyatt owners, I believe.
"Everyone in the hospitality industry wants growth but it should not be done at the cost of diluting the equity of their brands. Imagine a Park Hyatt owner spending upwards of Rs 1.5 crore per key seeing his hotel called Hyatt vis-a-vis a Hyatt or Hyatt place owner spending Rs 50 lakh a key and also being called Hyatt. You got to feel sorry for the Park Hyatt owner. I think the same is true for Marriott as well. Whether a JW or a core Marriott or a Courtyard or Fairfield, Marriott is Marriott," said a top industry official.
As per the agreements, signed by both parties on Monday i.e. October 29, 2012 in London, the entire re-branding exercise is expected to be completed by the end of this fiscal i.e. March 2013. IHHR Hospitality entered the five-star business hotels accommodation segment with the launch of its first Ista branded hotel back in 2006 in Bangalore. Featuring 143 guestrooms and suites, it was followed by Ista hotel launches in other cities like Hyderabad (165 guestrooms), Amristar (248 guestrooms), Pune (221 guestrooms) and Ahmedabad (169 guestrooms). The five hotels portfolio collectively have a total inventory of 946 guestrooms and suites.
Among investors in IHHR Hospitality include US-based financial services provider Morgan Stanley, which had bought 26% stake for about $40 million (Rs 160 crore) sometime in 2007. Media reports had earlier indicated that Morgan Stanley was looking to sell this stake and that the London-based C&C Alpha Group founded by Bhanu Choudhrie (IHHR Hospitality's biggest stakeholder) was likely to acquire it. Once concluded, C&C Alpha Group's 62% stake in IHHR Hospitality (held by its hospitality subsidiary Shanti Hospitality Group Ltd) would increase to over 80%.
Industry sources indicated that the Morgan Stanley exit transaction has been concluded and that the exit has happened either at par or at a loss. An email send to C&C Alpha Group's UK office remained unanswered. Morgan Stanley could not be reached for a comment.
C&C Alpha Group currently has investments across six sectors viz. healthcare, hospitality, real estate, aviation, utilities and agriculture. According to the company website, Shanti Hospitality currently has portfolio and pipeline projects spread across the Indian, Asian and European continents. The hotel company owns eight operational hotels and manages 12 hotels and resorts across the globe under the brands of Ananda, Nira, Ista, Amritara and Nidra.
While officials at IHHR Hospitality were not available to comment on this development, Ashok Khanna, managing director, IHHR, in a media statement, said, "The time is now right to step back to our role as owners and hand these Ista hotels to Hyatt, which can take the business to the next level, through its marketing and brand strength," said Khanna adding that the deal will also allow IHHR to re-focus its efforts on further developments and its other brands, which include destination spa brand Ananda in the Himalayas.
The re-branding will mark the entry of the fourth brand from Hyatt Hotels' portfolio into India. It is, however, not very clear what happens to the Ista brand post this management takeover. Industry experts however, said that IHHR Hospitality is likely to bury the six-year old identity it created to enter the city hotels segment of the Indian hospitality industry.
Currently, India has five Hyatt Regency hotels (Mumbai, Pune, Delhi, Chennai and Kolkata), two Grand Hyatt hotels (Mumbai and Goa), and three Park Hyatt hotels (Goa, Chennai and Hyderabad). The Hyatt Place brand will be the next to enter India, with Hyatt Place Hampi opening later this year, followed by Hyatt Place Pune, Hinjewadi. The next six months will also mark the opening of three other Hyatt hotels in India viz. Hyatt Regency Gurgaon, Hyatt Regency Ludhiana and Hyatt Raipur. The international hotel company's current development pipeline in India include more than 50 Hyatt-branded hotels, which are expected to add more than 12,000 rooms.
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