Mumbai: Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) are poised to record robust growth in their gold loan portfolios in the current financial year, even as their share of the organised market continues to shrink. According to a recent report by ICRA, NBFCs’ assets under management (AUM) in the gold loan segment are expected to grow by 30–35 per cent in FY2026, driven largely by elevated gold prices and a slowdown in unsecured lending.
The organised gold loan market is projected to reach ₹15 trillion by March 2026, a year ahead of previous estimates. This acceleration is attributed to the sustained rise in gold prices, which has boosted the value of collateral and increased demand for loans secured by gold jewellery. Despite this expansion, NBFCs’ share of the market has declined steadily, falling to 18 per cent as of March 2025 from 22 per cent in March 2021. Banks now dominate the segment, accounting for 82 per cent of total organised gold loan AUM.
ICRA notes that NBFCs have maintained strong growth momentum, with their gold loan AUM reaching approximately ₹2.4 trillion by June 2025, a year-on-year increase of around 41%. However, this growth has not translated into a larger market share, as banks have expanded more aggressively. Over the six-year period from FY2020 to FY2025, bank gold loan AUM grew at a compound annual rate of 26 per cent, compared to 20 per cent for NBFCs.
The concentration of gold loan assets among NBFCs remains high, though it is gradually dispersing. The top four NBFCs accounted for 81 per cent of the segment’s AUM in March 2025, down from 90 per cent in March 2022. This suggests that smaller players are beginning to gain ground, albeit slowly.
One notable trend is the divergence between the growth in AUM and the actual quantity of gold held as collateral. Between FY2020 and FY2025, the tonnage of gold held by NBFCs grew at a modest 1.7 per cent compound annual rate, while AUM rose by 20 per cent. In some cases, NBFCs reported a decline in gold holdings even as their loan books expanded. This discrepancy is partly explained by the increase in average loan ticket sizes, which more than doubled during the same period.
Branch expansion has also been subdued, with the number of NBFC branches growing at a compound annual rate of just 3.3 per cent from FY2020 to FY2025. Despite this, NBFCs have managed to sustain healthy lending spreads, supported by operational efficiencies and moderate credit losses. These factors have helped preserve net earnings, even as competition intensifies.
The competitive landscape is shifting, with banks reclassifying gold-backed loans from agricultural to retail categories. This reclassification has led to a rise in retail gold loans, which accounted for 18 per cent of total gold loans in March 2025, up from 11 per cent a year earlier. At the same time, the share of agricultural and other gold-backed loans declined to 63 per cent
ICRA cautions that NBFCs face increasing pressure on yields due to the entry of new players and the continued expansion of banks in the gold loan segment. To remain competitive, NBFCs will need to further improve operational efficiency and build buffers against margin compression.
While NBFCs are unlikely to regain their former dominance in the gold loan market, their projected growth in FY2026 underscores their resilience and adaptability. The segment remains a key area of focus for these institutions, particularly as they seek alternatives to unsecured lending in a high-risk environment.
