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Wednesday, 6 June 2012

On PE St, Warburg’s deal with Future no tide-turn

This story first appeared in DNA Money edition on Wednesday, June 6, 2012.

The deal between Warburg Pincus and Future Capital Holdings is more an exception than sign of an emerging trend on Private Equity Street, say experts.

To be sure, equities have lost a fifth of their value over the past year and valuations look much better.

“But valuation expectations have not softened yet and that is only making things more difficult. It’s a great time to invest, but one also needs to take into consideration that PE firms are fighting their own battle justifying their existence and the current state of economy is not really helping,” said Pankaj Karna, managing director, Maple Capital Advisors.

Gaurav Deepak, managing director, Avendus Capital, also sees the increasing economic uncertainties slowing down growth-oriented private equity deals in infrastructure related sectors. “At the same time, we believe that consumer, healthcare and other non-cyclical sectors will continue to see robust deal closures,” he said.

According to PE investments data compiled by Grant Thornton, in April this year, mergers and acquisitions and PE deals totalled $2.6 billion (99 deals), way below the $8.2 billion (101 deals) logged in April 2011 and $3.1 billion (136 deals) seen in April 2010.

PE deals cut much smaller portions at $0.6 billion (38 deals) in April 2012 compared with $0.8 billion (37 deals) and 0.8 billion (35 deals) in the corresponding period of 2011 and 2010, respectively.

One may continue to see evidence that a sombre global outlook, slowdown in Indian GDP growth, high inflation and elevated deficits has “significantly impacted investor confidence and private equity firms are reassessing/ refocusing on the way they do business,” auditing and consulting firm Deloitte said in a recent report titled ‘PE fueling India’s growth’.

Over a longer term, however, PE deals are seen materialising.

Kalpana Jain, senior director, Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India said that while there is caution in the market, PE firms have shown great appetite for directing monies into companies that would benefit from the strength of domestic consumption in India and the potential beneficiaries of such an approach by the PE firms will be segments like small retail format stores, hospitality and food and beverage.

“Given that money is needed at core infrastructure, the investing community is of the opinion that although it may take time, investment in backbone sectors such as infrastructure, education, healthcare and renewables will continue to see more traction as government policies streamline investment and exit modalities,” said Jain.

According to sources, what also helped in the case of Future Capital was that it was in the market for almost a year.
In fact, promoter Kishore Biyani had almost negotiated a deal with the Deccan Chronicle Group.

“It was almost concluded but got delayed as Deccan was awaiting funds required to make the acquisition,” said a source.
A number of private equity players, including Baring Private Equity, Bain Capital, CX Partners and L&T Finance were also pursuing the acquisition till about three weeks ago.

“While it was certain that Deccan will acquire Future Capital, other suitors continued to pursue the deal simultaneously. However, when Deccan informed they didn’t have enough funds to conclude the deal, that’s when Warburg Pincus stepped in. Surprisingly, it took them just two weeks to negotiate and close the deal,” said the source.

On Monday, Future Group said it will sell a 40% stake in the non-banking finance company to US-based Warburg Pincus for Rs 425 crore. Warburg’s stake in the entity will rise to 53.67% post an open offer, taking its total deal size to Rs 550-560 crore. Additionally, Warburg will invest Rs 100 crore in Future Capital.

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